Allocate capital based on a 10-year forecast for healthcare demand.
Vendor
Trilliant Health
Company Website
Develop AI-Powered Growth Strategies
AI-powered forecasts to inform market selection, service line growth and capital allocation
“Directionally correct” strategies are improbable.
In the absence of precise data, many health economy stakeholders settle for “directionally correct” insights, assumptions or general trends that appear reasonable but are fundamentally based on insufficient evidence. In contrast, probabilistic predictions powered by AI and drawn from comprehensive, longitudinal datasets can inform true “evidence-based” strategies.
FLAWED ASSUMPTIONS
Despite abundant evidence that demand for healthcare services is flat, legacy demand forecasts assume perennial growth
MISSING VARIABLES
Burden of disease is not 1:1 with demand for healthcare services, with is impacted by cost, access, convenience and therapeutic advancements
ONE-SIZE-FITS-ALL MODELS
National models ignore local market dynamics, masking geographic variation in demand
Develop evidence-based strategies for growth
Leverage forecasts built from more than 90,000 machine-learning models to predict where and how care will be delivered – generating market-specific projections with confidence intervals to quantify uncertainty.
Identify growing – and shrinking – demand across markets
- Identify high-growth service lines across U.S. markets
- Detect variation by ZIP code to identify opportunities within markets
- Quantify uncertainty with confidence bands
Develop service lines to meet projected patient needs
- Prioritize markets and service lines with growing demand
- Target the patient populations that are likely to drive future utilization
Allocate capital effectively based on probabilistic demand forecasts
- Identify high-growth markets for de novo sites or M&A
- Forecast care gaps to prioritize strategic capital allocation